Washington Post:
Shutdown update: Experts say it’s more likely than not to happen
ZitatAlles anzeigenAt this point, it's not really a surprise that a government shutdown is in the realm of possibility. Congress has faced the threat of one every fall for at least the past four years, since the government shut down in 2013 over Obamacare.
But this year, the threat is more serious, say budget experts, for one reason: President Trump. He badly needs a legislative victory, and he flat-out said this week he would risk a shutdown to get funding for his hallmark campaign promise, a border wall.
Overlay Trump's potential intransigence on a Republican Party that has long brought itself to the brink of a shutdown, and you have more factors leading to a shutdown than at any time since, well, the last one.
“It's completely unpredictable,” said Maya MacGuineas, the president of the bipartisan Committee for a Responsible Budget. “A negotiation that one could have seen the outlines for the resolution just got a mini bomb tossed into it.”
Here are all the reasons experts say a shutdown is more likely than not this year.
Too much to do, too little time
Congress spent much of its spring legislative session trying to pass a health-care bill. When lawmakers come back after Labor Day, they have roughly a month to:- Pass a spending bill by Oct. 1.
- Lift the debt ceiling by late September so the U.S. can borrow money to pay its debts.
- Fund a federal children's health insurance program.
- Reauthorize a flood insurance program.Oh, and Republican leaders want to seriously start debating a tax reform bill.
Any one of those tasks could easily take a month. And when Congress has too much on its plate, it can get paralyzed.